drawing the line

The Bent Line

how a state votes, against how it is represented
Democrats over-represented
Republicans over-represented
Read with care. Small states with one to three seats cannot split proportionally (a two-seat state is 0, 50, or 100 percent by necessity), so tiny dots far from the line reflect single-member-district granularity, not always a bent map. This sets the statewide presidential vote (a partisan-lean baseline) against House seats, not the House popular vote. The telling cases are the large dots sitting far off the diagonal.